The birth of the new moon is on Thursday

Based on the astronomical calculation, the birth of the new moon is on Thursday July 19th, 2012. However, the new crescent (hilal) would not be seen/sighted with naked eyes. With the help of optical aids, the possibility of sighting it on Thursday would be very slim. Based on the visibility map, displayed prominently on the moon sighting site, there are few places in South America and Africa where the moon might be seen using the optical aids.

So, the first of the month of Ramadhan would be unlikely on Friday July 20th.

The earliest to start the month would be Saturday for some people. While for others it could be Sunday.

I'll update when I hear something new.